In the paper, the models of uncertain reasoning are focused, such as the reasoning model of Bayes probability, Reliability theory, D-S evidence theory and Neural Network.

本文主要涉及的不确定推理模型包括主观贝叶斯的概率推理模型，可信度理论推理模型，证据理论及其改进推理模型以及神经网络推理模型。